Template:Brexit/Post-referendum opinion polling (2016-2020): Remain-Leave

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Date(s) conducted Remain Leave Neither Lead Sample Conducted by Polling type Notes
18–21 Oct 2019 55% 45% — 10% 2,017 Deltapoll Online "Neither" removed
17 Oct 2019 EU and UK negotiators agree a new withdrawal agreement.[1]
2–14 Oct 2019 32% 54% 14% 22% 26,000 ComRes [note 1][note 2]
9–11 Oct 2019 51% 45% 3% 6% 1,622 Panelbase Online Likely voters
25 Sep 2019 51% 45% 4% 6% 821 Survation Online Likely voters
5–9 Sep 2019 37% 34% 29% 3% 1,144 Kantar Online
5–7 Sep 2019 46% 40% 14% 6% 2,049 Deltapoll Online
5–6 Sep 2019 52% 45% 3% 7% 864 Panelbase Online Likely voters
5–6 Sep 2019 50% 44% 6% 6% 809 Survation Online Likely voters
3–4 Sep 2019 46% 43% 12% 3% 1,533 YouGov Online
29–31 Aug 2019 46% 41% 13% 5% 2,028 Deltapoll Online
29–30 Aug 2019 51% 46% 3% 6% 861 Survation Online Likely voters
15–19 Aug 2019 36% 35% 29% 1% 1,133 Kantar Online
14–15 Aug 2019 45% 40% 15% 5% 1,696 YouGov Online
6–11 Aug 2019 52% 43% 5% 9% 1,658 Survation Online Likely voters
28–29 Jul 2019 46% 41% 13% 5% 1,652 YouGov Online
25–27 Jul 2019 45% 41% 13% 4% 2,001 Deltapoll Online
24 Jul 2019 Boris Johnson replaces Theresa May as Prime Minister
19–20 Jun 2019 51% 44% 5% 7% 1,658 Survation Online Likely voters
4–7 Jun 2019 48% 44% 8% 4% 1,345 BMG Research Online [note 1]
23 May 2019 2019 European Parliament election in the United Kingdom
22 May 2019 47% 48% 5% 1% 1,596 Survation Online Likely voters
14–21 May 2019 52% 45% 3% 7% 1,619 Panelbase Online Likely voters
17 May 2019 49% 47% 4% 2% 797 Survation Online Likely voters
12–13 May 2019 44% 42% 14% 2% 2,131 YouGov Online
9–13 May 2019 42% 33% 24% 9% 1,152 Kantar Online
7–10 May 2019 52% 41% 7% 11% 1,393 BMG Research Online [note 1]
30 Apr – 1 May 2019 44% 40% 15% 4% 1,867 YouGov Online
18–24 Apr 2019 51% 45% 4% 5% 1,620 Panelbase Online Likely voters
16 Apr 2019 52% 38% 10% 14% 1,061 ComRes Online
4–8 Apr 2019 41% 35% 24% 5% 1,172 Kantar Online
2–5 Apr 2019 51% 42% 8% 9% 1,338 BMG Research Online [note 1]
28–30 Mar 2019 54% 46% — 8% 1,010 Deltapoll Online "Neither" removed
29 Mar 2019 The House of Commons votes to reject the Government's proposed withdrawal agreement for the third time.
19 Mar 2019 46% 41% 14% 5% 2,084 YouGov Online
15–17 Mar 2019 45% 39% 16% 6% 2,033 ComRes Online
15 Mar 2019 51% 45% 5% 6% 831 Survation Online Likely voters
12 Mar 2019 The House of Commons votes to reject the Government's proposed withdrawal agreement for the second time.
7–11 Mar 2019 40% 32% 28% 7% 1,152 Kantar Online
4–8 Mar 2019 49% 42% 9% 7% 1,330 BMG Research Online [note 1]
4–5 Mar 2019 46% 39% 15% 8% 2,042 ComRes Online
21–23 Feb 2019 45% 41% 13% 4% 1,027 Deltapoll Online
18 Feb 2019 47% 44% 8% 3% 849 Survation Online Likely voters
17–18 Feb 2019 48% 38% 14% 10% 1,832 YouGov Online
8–11 Feb 2019 43% 43% 13% 0% 2,004 Deltapoll Online
7–11 Feb 2019 43% 35% 22% 8% 1,145 Kantar Online
4–8 Feb 2019 50% 40% 9% 10% 1,363 BMG Research Online [note 1]
30 Jan 2019 52% 43% 6% 9% 847 Survation Online Likely voters
22–23 Jan 2019 45% 38% 16% 7% 1,699 YouGov Online
16–17 Jan 2019 48% 42% 11% 6% 2,083 ORB Online
16–17 Jan 2019 47% 39% 14% 7% 2,031 ComRes Online
16 Jan 2019 48% 38% 14% 10% 1,070 YouGov Online
15 Jan 2019 The House of Commons votes to reject the Government's proposed withdrawal agreement for the first time.[2]
14–15 Jan 2019 44% 40% 16% 4% 2,010 ComRes Online
10–14 Jan 2019 44% 35% 21% 8% 1,106 Kantar Online
10–11 Jan 2019 47% 45% 8% 2% 808 Survation Online Likely voters
8-11 Jan 2019 49% 41% 10% 8% 1,344 BMG Research Online [note 1]
21 Dec 2018 – 4 Jan 2019 46% 39% 15% 7% 25,537 YouGov Online
16–17 Dec 2018 45% 41% 14% 4% 1,660 YouGov Online [note 1]
14–15 Dec 2018 46% 37% 17% 9% 1,660 YouGov Online
13–14 Dec 2018 44% 43% 12% 1% 2,022 Deltapoll Online
4–7 Dec 2018 52% 40% 7% 12% 1,379 BMG Research Online [note 1]
5–6 Dec 2018 36% 33% 31% 3% 1,178 Kantar Online
30 Nov – 3 Dec 2018 45% 45% 10% 0% 2,007 Opinium
9–30 Nov 2018 Ministers including Brexit Secretary Dominic Raab and Work and Pensions Secretary Esther McVey resign in protest to the government's proposed withdrawal agreement (or to plans preceding it).[3]
28–29 Nov 2018 47% 39% 14% 8% 1,655 YouGov Online
22–23 Nov 2018 46% 42% 12% 4% 1,691 YouGov Online
15 Nov 2018 50% 45% 5% 5% 874 Survation Online Likely voters
14–15 Nov 2018 46% 40% 14% 6% 1,153 YouGov Online
14–15 Nov 2018 45% 43% 12% 2% 2,000 ComRes Online Not weighted by 2016 vote
14 Nov 2018 The UK Cabinet approves a new draft withdrawal agreement.[4]
8-12 Nov 2018 39% 34% 27% 5% 1,147 Kantar Online
7–9 Nov 2018 45% 41% 13% 4% 3,344 YouGov Online
6–9 Nov 2018 49% 42% 9% 7% 1,339 BMG Research Online [note 1]
2–7 Nov 2018 51% 46% 4% 5% 1,674 Panelbase Online Likely voters
24 Oct – 6 Nov 2018 47% 40% 13% 7% 8,154 Populus Online
20 Oct – 2 Nov 2018 50% 44% 7% 6% 16,337 Survation Online Likely voters
24–26 Oct 2018 40% 40% 20% 0% 1,017 Deltapoll Online
22–23 Oct 2018 46% 41% 13% 5% 1,802 YouGov Online
11–15 Oct 2018 38% 35% 28% 3% 1,128 Kantar Online
3–5 Oct 2018 48% 41% 11% 7% 1,346 BMG Research Online [note 1]
28–29 Sep 2018 47% 43% 10% 4% 1,075 BMG Research Online [note 1]
8–26 Sep 2018 51% 34% 15% 17% 941 Kantar Public Face to face Respondents aged 15+; unweighted
21–22 Sep 2018 48% 42% 10% 6% 901 BMG Research Online [note 1]
20–21 Sep 2018 43% 43% 13% 0% 1,762 YouGov Online [note 1]
6–10 Sep 2018 42% 35% 23% 7% 1,119 Kantar Online
7–9 Sep 2018 46% 42% 11% 4% 2,051 ICM Online
7 Sep 2018 47% 46% 8% 1% 854 Survation Online Likely voters
46% 44% 10% 2% 975 Possible voters
4–7 Sep 2018 47% 43% 10% 4% 1,372 BMG Research Online [note 1]
28 Aug – 4 Sep 2018 46% 42% 12% 4% 10,215 YouGov Online
31 Jul – 4 Sep 2018 46% 41% 13% 5% 25,641 YouGov Online
31 Aug – 1 Sep 2018 47% 47% 6% 0% 864 Survation Online Likely voters
21–22 Aug 2018 46% 42% 12% 4% 1,667 YouGov Online
14–20 Aug 2018 46% 41% 13% 5% 10,299 YouGov Online
31 Jul – 20 Aug 2018 46% 40% 13% 6% 18,772 YouGov Online
9–13 Aug 2018 40% 35% 25% 5% 1,119 Kantar Online
6–10 Aug 2018 50% 43% 7% 7% 1,316 BMG Research Online With squeeze responses. [note 1]
49% 41% 10% 8% Without squeeze responses. [note 1]
31 Jul – 7 Aug 2018 46% 40% 14% 6% 10,121 YouGov Online
26–31 Jul 2018 46% 41% 13% 5% 4,957 YouGov Online
25–26 Jul 2018 45% 42% 13% 3% 1,631 YouGov Online
23–24 Jul 2018 47% 41% 12% 6% 1,627 YouGov Online
47% 44% 9% 3% YouGov [note 1]
19–20 Jul 2018 44% 40% 16% 4% 1,668 YouGov Online
12–14 Jul 2018 45% 45% 11% 0% 1,484 Deltapoll Online
8–9 Jul 2018 Brexit Secretary David Davis and Foreign Secretary Boris Johnson resign.[5]
5–9 Jul 2018 40% 32% 28% 8% 1,086 Kantar Online
7 Jul 2018 49% 45% 5% 4% 855 Survation Online Likely voters
6 Jul 2018 The UK Cabinet agrees the Chequers statement, setting out a proposal on the future UK–EU relationship.[6]
28 Jun – 6 Jul 2018 47% 41% 13% 6% 10,383 YouGov Online
3–5 Jul 2018 51% 45% 5% 6% 1,359 BMG Research Online With squeeze responses. [note 1]
49% 43% 8% 6% Without squeeze responses. [note 1]
26–27 Jun 2018 44% 44% 12% 0% 1,626 YouGov Online [note 1]
19–20 Jun 2018 50% 44% 6% 6% 866 Survation Online Likely voters
10–11 Jun 2018 45% 40% 15% 5% 1,654 YouGov Online
5–8 Jun 2018 48% 45% 6% 3% 1,350 BMG Research Online With squeeze responses. [note 1]
46% 43% 10% 3% Without squeeze responses. [note 1]
31 May – 4 Jun 2018 48% 47% 6% 1% 1,724 Survation Online Likely voters
9–16 May 2018 47% 42% 11% 5% 2,006 Deltapoll Online
8–10 May 2018 47% 47% 6% 0% 1,585 Survation Online
1–4 May 2018 49% 44% 7% 5% 1,361 BMG Research Online With squeeze responses. [note 1]
47% 43% 11% 4% Without squeeze responses. [note 1]
25–30 Apr 2018 45% 42% 13% 3% 1,637 YouGov Online
14 Apr 2018 47% 46% 7% 1% 1,746 Survation Online Likely voters
10–13 Apr 2018 51% 42% 6% 9% 1,432 BMG Research Online With squeeze responses. [note 1]
49% 40% 10% 9% Without squeeze responses. [note 1]
6–8 Apr 2018 45% 44% 11% 1% 2,012 ICM Online
5–6 Apr 2018 44% 41% 15% 3% 1,636 YouGov Online
23–26 Mar 2018 45% 44% 11% 1% 1,658 YouGov Online [note 1]
13-16 Mar 2018 50% 44% 6% 6% 1,658 BMG Research Online With squeeze responses. [note 1]
49% 42% 9% 7% Without squeeze responses. [note 1]
7–8 Mar 2018 44% 49% 7% 5% 2,092 ORB Online Not weighted by 2016 vote
2 Mar 2018 43% 46% 12% 3% 1,096 ComRes Online Not weighted by 2016 vote
2 Mar 2018 Theresa May makes Mansion House speech, outlining the UK Government's policy on the future UK–EU relationship.[7]
27–28 Feb 2018 44% 41% 14% 3% 1,646 YouGov Online
14–16 Feb 2018 46% 42% 13% 4% 1,482 Sky Data Online
6–9 Feb 2018 47% 44% 9% 3% 1,325 BMG Research Online [note 1]
26–29 Jan 2018 49% 46% 6% 3% 912 Survation Online Likely voters
18–22 Jan 2018 46% 42% 12% 4% 1,633 YouGov Online
16–19 Jan 2018 49% 41% 10% 8% 1,096 Sky Data Online
10–19 Jan 2018 45% 43% 12% 2% 5,075 ICM Online
9–12 Jan 2018 48% 44% 9% 4% 1,373 BMG Research Online [note 1]
11 Jan 2018 51% 43% 6% 8% 1,049 ComRes Online Not weighted by 2016 vote
13–19 Dec 2017 39% 48% 13% 9% 1,692 YouGov Online [note 1]
15 Dec 2017 The European Council decides to proceed to the second phase of the Brexit negotiations.[8]
8–10 Dec 2017 46% 43% 11% 3% 2,006 ICM Online
5–8 Dec 2017 51% 41% 8% 10% 1,363 BMG Research Online [note 1]
30 Nov – 1 Dec 2017 49% 46% 6% 3% 874 Survation Online Likely voters
16–17 Nov 2017 43% 43% 14% 0% 1,672 YouGov Online
14–17 Nov 2017 45% 45% 10% 0% 1,399 BMG Research Online [note 1]
18–24 Oct 2017 44% 40% 16% 4% 1,648 YouGov Online
19–20 Oct 2017 46% 45% 9% 1% 1,005 Opinium Online
17-20 Oct 2017 47% 44% 8% 3% 1,360 BMG Research Online [note 1]
4–5 Oct 2017 49% 45% 6% 3% 1,769 Survation Online Likely voters
26 Sep–2 Oct 2017 44% 46% 9% 2% 1,645 YouGov Online [note 1]
23 Sep 2017 46% 47% 6% 1% 999 Survation Online Likely voters
22 Sep 2017 Theresa May makes Florence speech, in an attempt to 'unblock' the Brexit negotiations.[9]
19–22 Sep 2017 45% 44% 12% 1% 2,004 Opinium Online
15–20 Sep 2017 47% 47% 5% 0% 1,410 Survation Online Likely voters
12–15 Sep 2017 47% 43% 10% 4% 1,379 BMG Research Online [note 1]
12–15 Sep 2017 45% 45% 10% 0% 2,009 Opinium Online
23–24 Aug 2017 45% 43% 12% 2% 1,729 YouGov Online
15–18 Aug 2017 47% 44% 9% 3% 2,006 Opinium Online
8-11 Aug 2017 46% 45% 9% 1% 1,358 BMG Research Online [note 1]
23–24 Jul 2017 46% 43% 11% 3% 1,609 YouGov Online
14–15 Jul 2017 47% 48% 5% 1% 909 Survation Online Likely voters
11–14 Jul 2017 46% 45% 9% 1% 1,385 BMG Research Online [note 1]
28–30 Jun 2017 52% 44% 5% 8% 1,017 Survation Telephone
23–30 Jun 2017 46% 42% 13% 4% 1,661 YouGov Online
16–21 Jun 2017 46% 50% 4% 4% 5,481 Panelbase Online
19 Jun 2017 Brexit negotiations begin.[10]
16–17 Jun 2017 50% 48% 3% 2% 1,005 Survation Telephone Likely voters
10 Jun 2017 48% 46% 6% 2% 1,036 Survation Online Likely voters
8 Jun 2017 2017 United Kingdom general election
2–7 Jun 2017 46% 51% 3% 5% 3,018 Panelbase Online Likely voters
2–5 Jun 2017 47% 44% 9% 3% 1,363 BMG Research Online [note 1]
26 May – 1 Jun 2017 47% 49% 4% 2% 1,224 Panelbase Online Likely voters
25–30 May 2017 35% 38% 27% 3% 1,199 Kantar TNS Online
21–22 May 2017 43% 43% 13% 0% 1,974 YouGov Online
19–22 May 2017 45% 45% 10% 0% 1,360 BMG Research Online [note 1]
12–15 May 2017 47% 50% 3% 3% 1,026 Panelbase Online Likely voters
5–9 May 2017 47% 49% 4% 2% 1,027 Panelbase Online Likely voters
28 Apr – 2 May 2017 48% 49% 3% 1% 1,034 Panelbase Online Likely voters
21–24 Apr 2017 45% 45% 10% 0% 1,465 BMG Research Online [note 1]
20–24 Apr 2017 46% 50% 4% 4% 1,026 Panelbase Online Likely voters
28–31 Mar 2017 46% 46% 8% 0% 1,437 BMG Research Online [note 1]
23–30 Mar 2017 44% 43% 14% 1% 1,643 YouGov Online
29 Mar 2017 The United Kingdom invokes Article 50.[11]
19 Feb – 2 Mar 2017 42% 44% 15% 2% 1,784 YouGov Online
21–24 Feb 2017 45% 46% 9% 1% 1,477 BMG Research Online [note 1]
19–20 Feb 2017 42% 44% 15% 2% 1,784 YouGov Online
19–24 Jan 2017 43% 44% 13% 1% 1,643 YouGov Online
17 Jan 2017 Theresa May makes Lancaster House speech, setting out the UK Government's negotiating priorities.[12]
6–9 Jan 2017 44% 45% 11% 1% 1,354 BMG Research Online [note 1]
14–21 Dec 2016 44% 43% 13% 1% 1,569 YouGov Online
15–18 Dec 2016 45% 47% 8% 2% 2,048 ComRes Online
6–9 Dec 2016 43% 46% 11% 3% 1,379 BMG Research Online [note 1]
21 Nov – 9 Dec 2016 43% 44% 13% 1% 1,693 YouGov Online
28–29 Nov 2016 46% 42% 12% 4% 1,624 YouGov Online
25–27 Nov 2016 46% 47% 6% 1% 2,035 ComRes Online
22–25 Nov 2016 43% 43% 14% 0% 1,409 BMG Research Online [note 1]
20–25 Oct 2016 44% 43% 13% 1% 1,631 YouGov Online
19–24 Oct 2016 45% 43% 12% 2% 1,546 BMG Research Online [note 1]
10–12 Oct 2016 44% 44% 12% 0% 1,002 Survation Online
2 Oct 2016 Theresa May makes Conservative Party Conference speech, announcing her intention to invoke Article 50 by 31 March 2017.[13]
16–20 Sep 2016 42% 46% 11% 4% 1,601 YouGov Online
31 Aug – 9 Sep 2016 43% 45% 13% 2% 1,711 YouGov Online
21–22 Jul 2016 43% 44% 13% 1% 1,673 YouGov Online
13 Jul 2016 Theresa May becomes Prime Minister of the United Kingdom.[14]
3–4 Jul 2016 45% 45% 10% 0% 1,820 YouGov Online
29–30 Jun 2016 45% 37% 19% 8% 1,017 BMG Research Telephone[15]
28–30 Jun 2016 48% 42% 9% 6% 2,006 Opinium Online
23 Jun 2016 35% 37% 28% 3% United Kingdom European Union membership referendum, 2016 [note 3]
  1. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad ae af ag ah ai aj ak al am an ao ap aq ar as at au av aw Question does not explicitly ask how respondents would vote in a referendum.
  2. ^ Question asked in poll: "Regardless of the way you voted in the 2016 referendum, do you support or oppose the UK abiding by the referendum result and leaving the EU?"
  3. ^ Percentages are of registered voters.

References[edit]

  1. ^ "New Withdrawal Agreement and Political Declaration". GOV.UK. Department for Exiting the European Union. 19 October 2019. Retrieved 2 November 2019. The revised Withdrawal Agreement and Political Declaration were considered and agreed at European Council on 17 October 2019.
  2. ^ "Brexit: Theresa May's deal is voted down in historic Commons defeat". BBC News. 15 January 2019. Retrieved 17 January 2019.
  3. ^ "Tory minister Sam Gyimah resigns in protest at Theresa May's Brexit deal". The Telegraph. 1 December 2018. Retrieved 2 December 2018.
  4. ^ "Brexit: Cabinet backs draft agreement". BBC News. 14 November 2018. Retrieved 2 December 2018.
  5. ^ "Boris Johnson tells PM she is suffocating Brexit 'dream'". BBC News. 9 July 2018. Retrieved 9 July 2018.
  6. ^ "Brexit: Cabinet agrees 'collective' stance on future EU deal". BBC News. 7 July 2018. Retrieved 8 July 2018.
  7. ^ "'Hard facts' for both sides in Brexit talks – Theresa May". BBC News. 2 March 2018. Retrieved 11 March 2018.
  8. ^ "Brexit: EU leaders agree to move talks to next stage". BBC News. 15 December 2017. Retrieved 16 December 2017.
  9. ^ "Theresa May urges EU to retain trade terms for two years after Brexit". BBC News. 22 September 2017. Retrieved 13 October 2017.
  10. ^ "Brexit negotiations: Barnier rules out 'concessions'". BBC News. 19 June 2017. Retrieved 23 June 2017.
  11. ^ "'No turning back' on Brexit as Article 50 triggered". BBC News. 29 March 2017. Retrieved 29 March 2017.
  12. ^ "Brexit: UK to leave single market, says Theresa May". BBC News. 17 January 2017. Retrieved 24 March 2017.
  13. ^ "Brexit: Theresa May to trigger Article 50 by end of March". BBC News. 2 October 2016. Retrieved 16 October 2016.
  14. ^ "Theresa May vows to be 'one nation' prime minister". BBC News. 13 July 2016. Retrieved 24 March 2017.
  15. ^ https://www.bmgresearch.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2016/07/CONFIDENTIAL-Methodology-Sheet-BMG-Research-EU-ReferendumRe-contact-survey-for-Evening-Standard-010716.pdf
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